By the Runs Expected matrix, the best call in that situation would have been to have Ausmus intentionally strikeout and bring up a pinch hitter.

I'd bet if you ran that scenario 1,000 times through a simulation program, you'd score the FEWEST NUMBER OF RUNS by calling for the squeeze. I'd bet at least 60% of the time, you'd score more runs when Ausmus strikes out than when he attempts the squeeze.

Statistically, there is no way to defend the call, down 2 runs. It was one of the stupidest things I've ever seen on a major league field. Perhaps only topped by Willie Taveras PULLING THE BAT BACK on a suicide squeeze in 2005 (on a low and outside pitch - perhaps the easiest of all pitches to get the squeeze down with, almost IMPOSSIBLE not to at least foul off. Now, Garner could have had a vision that the Cards were going to toss it down the right field line and clear the bases, but an intelligent manager would never make that call.

~Crash